Proposed legislation targets SkyCity with hefty fines

Macau's anticipated surge in visitor numbers during the extended Labour Day break fell short of expectations, with just over 604,000 visitors recorded, as reported across multiple media outlets. This figure represented a daily average of around 121,000, notably below the 130,000 forecasted by tourism officials. 

Last month, the Macao Government Tourism Office (MGTO), a surge in inbound tourism to Macau for the Labour Day holiday.  

Unfavourable weather conditions, including rain and gusty winds throughout the Labour Day break, likely contributed to the lower-than-expected visitor numbers. Particularly severe weather conditions were experienced on Saturday, marked by the issuance of the year's first black rainstorm warning. 

Despite the subdued arrival numbers, the total entries and exits recorded at all of Macau's border checkpoints saw a notable 11.6 percent year-on-year increase, totaling 2.43 million. This uptick suggests continued mobility despite challenges in visitor arrivals. 

The total visitor numbers recorded between May 1 and May 5 accounted for nearly 85 percent of the comparable figures from 2019, marking a significant recovery towards pre-pandemic levels. This trend underscores Macau's resilience in rebounding from the impact of Covid-19 on travel and tourism. 

While Labour Day itself is a single-day holiday in Macau, it extends to a three-day break on the Chinese mainland, which constitutes Macau's primary source of visitors. When combined with the weekend, this creates a five-day vacation period for mainland Chinese travellers, traditionally contributing to increased tourism activity in Macau. 

Despite challenges posed by adverse weather conditions, Macau's ability to attract many visitors during the Labour Day break reflects continued interest in the destination and ongoing efforts towards tourism recovery. 

Meanwhile, starting Monday, a  tailored for Chinese nationals participating in package tours will launch, facilitating travel between Macau and the nearby Hengqin. The initiative, unveiled by China’s National Immigration Administration, enables package tour participants to enjoy unrestricted movement between the two regions for up to seven days. 

Upcoming SiGMA event: SiGMA Asia 2024, 2 – 5 June. Find all the details .

Maybank Securities Inc. projects a robust growth of 15 percent in the of the Philippines' gaming industry for 2024. In a recent note, the institution expressed optimism, maintaining a positive outlook on the sector.  

Analyst Raffy Mendoza highlighted the anticipated growth driven by the domestic mass and slots market, with additional upside potential from the gradual recovery of the VIP segment, notably led by South Korean visitors. 

Maybank expects growth to extend beyond Entertainment City, Manila, with the opening of Solaire Resort North and a surge in e-gaming activities contributing to the industry's expansion. 

In 2023, the Philippines witnessed a remarkable 33% year-on-year growth in GGR, reaching PHP 285.3 billion (€4.6 billion). Land-based venues constituted the bulk of this growth, accounting for approximately 80 percent of the industry's GGR, marking a substantial increase from the previous year. 

Mass tables and slot machines dominated Entertainment City's GGR, comprising 64% of the total in the financial year 2023. This underscores the growing demand from the domestic market, a trend expected to persist due to increasing private consumption. 

While Maybank anticipates challenges due to fewer Chinese visitors affecting the VIP segment, it notes a gradual recovery led by South Korean tourists. Despite Chinese arrivals being at only 24 percent of 2019 levels in the first quarter of 2024, Korean arrivals have reached 88 percent of pre-pandemic levels during the same period. 

The Philippine Amusement and Gaming Corporation (PAGCOR) the gaming industry to generate PHP 336.38 billion (€5.5 billion) in GGR in 2024, reflecting a significant 17.9 percent increase compared to 2023. 

Overall, Maybank's positive forecast underscores the resilience and potential of the Philippines' gaming industry, driven primarily by the domestic market's sustained growth and gradual recovery in the VIP segment, despite challenges posed by fluctuating visitor arrivals. 

Upcoming SiGMA event: SiGMA Asia 2024, 2 – 5 June. Find all the details .

South Korean foreigner-only gaming operators Grand Korea Leisure Co Ltd (GKL) and Lotte Tour Development recorded a decline in their April sales compared to the previous month. This decline reflects ongoing challenges faced by the industry despite improvements.  

, a subsidiary of the Korea Tourism Organization, experienced a 28.9 percent decrease in net sales in April compared to the same period last year. Table game sales dropped by 21.2 percent month-on-month, while machine game sales remained relatively stable. However, total sales for the first four months of 2024 declined by 17.7 percent compared to the previous year, without a specified reason for the decrease.  

Although the casino's table drop remained steady compared to March, it showed a notable increase of 7.8 percent from April 2023. The cumulative casino drop for the first four months of the year also demonstrated a significant rise of 17.6 percent compared to the same period last year.  

Meanwhile, Lotte Tour Development, operator of the Jeju Dream Tower casino resort, reported an 8.1 percent decrease in casino sales in April compared to the previous month. However, sales surged by 104.8 percent compared to April last year. Table game sales decreased by 7.7 percent month-on-month but showed a significant increase of 114.6 percent year-on-year.  

Lotte Tour's casino table drop for April witnessed a notable rise of 5.2 percent compared to March and a significant increase of 32.6 percent year-on-year.  

Despite fluctuations in sales and table drops, casino operators in continue to navigate challenges in the gaming industry. While some indicators show improvement compared to last year, the overall trend highlights the need for sustained efforts to bolster the sector in the face of ongoing uncertainties.  

Upcoming SiGMA event: SiGMA Asia 2024, 2 – 5 June. Find all the details .

s financial results for the first quarter of 2024 reveal a challenging period for the company. The operator reported a total revenue of $1.61 billion and an adjusted EBITDAR of $256.2 million, marking a decline of 3.9 percent and 46.4 percent year-on-year respectively. This downturn was not limited to these metrics alone; net income also took a hit, plummeting from $514.4 million in Q1 2023 to a loss of $114.9 million in Q1 2024.

Operating income followed a similar trend, dropping from $199.1 million to a loss of $21.4 million. Total operating expenses, on the other hand, grew by 10.5 percent to $1.63 billion. A significant portion of these increased expenses can be attributed to ESPN Bet, which was launched in August last year following the reselling of Barstool to its Founder, Dave Portnoy, for $1 –o acquire it in February 2023.

At a property level, Penn generated $1.4 billion in revenue, with an adjusted EBITDAR of $479 million. However, Penn Interactive/ESPN Bet reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $196 million among other factors, resulting in a total adjusted EBITDAR of $256.2 million.

The northeast segment, which includes properties such as Ameristar East Chicago, Hollywood Casino at Greektown, and Plainridge Park Casino, made $684.7 million in revenue and $202.6 million in adjusted EBITDAR, down 2.3 percent and 4.8 percent year-on-year respectively.

The south segment, with properties including Boomtown Biloxi, Hollywood Casino Gulf Coast, and Margaritaville Resort Casino, generated $298.5 million, down $16.3 million from last year, while adjusted EBITDAR fell by $10.1 million to $113.5 million. The mid-west segment came slightly behind the south segment at $291.2 million, down 1.4 percent year-on-year. Adjusted EBITDAR was also down, falling 6.8 percent annually.

Lastly, the west segment, with properties including Ameristar Black Hawk, M Resort, and Zia Park Casino, saw a marginal revenue decline, down $0.9 million to $128.8 million, while adjusted EBITDAR fell 6.5 percent to $45.9 million. The other segment, which includes stand-alone racing operations and overhead costs, made $6 million in revenue – the only segment to see any annual growth, up $0.2 million.

Penn Interactive, which includes all online and retail sports betting (ESPN Bet), online casino, and social gaming operations, reported a revenue of $207.7 million, down 11 percent year-on-year. Adjusted EBITDAR went from a loss of $5.7 million to a loss of $196 million – a significant increase.

ESPN Bet was expected to result in a loss in its early days, especially considering that operators such as DraftKings have yet to report an overall profit from operations, having made an overall loss from operations of $43.8 million in Q4 2023. However, with revenue down across the board and the operator still recovering from the financial loss accrued from acquiring Barstool, the operator may struggle to compete if investments on ESPN Bet do not begin turning around soon.

Despite this, ESPN Bet has remained active. In March, the sportsbook was added to North Carolina’s online sports betting market following its legalisation, while in April, the sportsbook opened its first retail location in Detroit at Hollywood Casino in Greektown.

Penn Entertainment’s Q1 2024 results reveal a challenging period for the company, with declines in revenue and adjusted EBITDAR, and significant losses from ESPN Bet. The company will need to navigate these challenges carefully to ensure future growth and profitability.

Penn Entertainment’s future seems to be a blend of potential hurdles and opportunities, according to various market analyst projections and predictions.

Projections for financial growth: Market analysts predict that Penn Entertainment’s earnings and revenue will see an annual growth of 61.9 percent and 6.1 percent respectively. The Earnings Per Share (EPS) is projected to see an annual growth of 63.3 percent. The return on equity is expected to be 8.4 percent in the next three years.

Forecast for stock price: The average price target set by analysts for Penn Entertainment Inc (PENN) stock for the upcoming 30 days is $27.58, indicating a potential increase of +59.60 percent from the current price of $17.28. The highest price target set by analysts is $28.93, and the lowest is $26.23.

Long-term outlook: Based on financial reports and historical earnings data, Penn Entertainment Inc (PENN) stock could potentially reach $35.50 by 2030, $56.34 by 2040, and $90.13 by 2050.

Expectations for earnings: Earnings for Penn Entertainment are anticipated to grow in the coming year, moving from ($0.90) to $0.80 per share. Penn Entertainment has confirmed that its next quarterly earnings report will be released by the end of this week. It’s crucial to remember that these are merely forecasts and the actual results may differ. The company’s performance could be affected by a range of factors, including market conditions, regulatory changes, and the overall economic climate. Therefore, investors should consider these forecasts as part of a wider set of information when making investment decisions.